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چکیده
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reducing
dust pollution in arid regions. This research aimed to develop a dust-vulnerability map for Kerman Province in central
Iran using the support vector machine (SVM) model. The model, utilizing four kernel functions, was used for modeling
and assessing based on sensitivity, 1-specificity, and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic
(ROC). The best DVR prediction map was validated using the dust frequency index (DFI) map. Subsequently, the significant
components were prioritized through the learning vector quantization (LVQ) algorithm. All functions effectively delineated
vulnerable areas, with the radial basis function (RBF) (sensitivity = 0.967; 1-specificity = 0.014; AUC = 0.958) surpassing
others (sensitivity = 0.956; 1-specificity = 0.04; AUC = 0.977). The study area was classified into low (32%), moderate
(11.6%), high (13.6%), and very high (42.8%) vulnerability zones using the optimal model. The classification’s accuracy,
particularly for the low and very high-risk classes, was validated by the reclassified DFI map, achieving balanced accuracies
of 82% and 77%, respectively, indicating the reliability of the SVM model with the RBF function in identifying these classes.
The LVQ analysis indicated that slope angle, geology, soil moisture, soil carbon density, and proximity to mines were critical
factors influencing vulnerability to dust storms in central Iran. Land-related factors and human activities were identified as
having a more substantial impact on dust vulnerability compared to climatic factors. These results can aid policymakers in
prioritizing strategies to combat land degradation, manage dust storms, and alleviate the negative effects on air quality and
human health, particularly in highly vulnerable regions.
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